Allan Hsiao

I work on questions in environmental and development economics using tools from empirical industrial organization and international trade. (CV)

Working papers

Critical Minerals, Geopolitics, and the Green Transition
with Tomás Domínguez-Iino and Jonathan Elliott

Sea Level Rise and Urban Adaptation in Jakarta
Revise and resubmit, Econometrica

Climate Change, Deforestation, and the Expansion of the Global Agricultural Frontier
with Jacob Moscona, Benjamin Olken, and Karthik Sastry

The Global Effects of Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms
with Kimberly Clausing, Jonathan Colmer, and Catherine Wolfram

Educational Investment in Spatial Equilibrium: Evidence from Indonesia

Democratization and Infrastructure Investment: Evidence from Healthcare in Indonesia

Papers

Food Policy in a Warming World (code)
with Jacob Moscona and Karthik Sastry
Econometrica 2026

Coordination and Commitment in International Climate Action: Evidence from Palm Oil (code)
Econometrica 2026

Climate Crisis and Policy Inaction in Indonesia (code)
with Nicholas Kuipers
American Journal of Political Science 2025

Sea Level Rise and Urban Infrastructure (code)
AEA Papers and Proceedings 2025

Sea Level Rise and Urban Inequality (code)
AEA Papers and Proceedings 2024

Data

SUDS: Sea Level Rise and Urban Infrastructure Data Set (code)

Historical Urban Development in Jakarta, 1887-1945

Surveys

Deforestation (slides)
with Francisco Costa, Heitor Pellegrina, and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues
VoxDevLit 2025

Coastal Investment in the Age of Climate Change
Nature Climate Change 2025

Social Safety Nets in Africa (report)
with Colin Andrews and Laura Ralston